Key Tronic Stock Performance
| KTCC Stock | USD 2.83 0.07 2.41% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.25, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Key Tronic's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Key Tronic is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Key Tronic has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to verify Key Tronic's accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the day median price and price action indicator , to decide if Key Tronic performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Key Tronic has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.41) | Five Day Return 1.8 | Year To Date Return 1.8 | Ten Year Return (64.49) | All Time Return (89.01) |
1 | Key Tronic Corp Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Challenges with Strategic ... - Yahoo Finance UK | 11/10/2025 |
2 | Will Key Tronic Corporation stock justify high valuation - July 2025 Summary Low Drawdown Trading Strategies - newser.com | 11/19/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Philip Hochberg of 4619 shares of Key Tronic subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/21/2025 |
4 | Is Key Tronic Corporation stock a buy before product launches - 2025 Major Catalysts Daily Risk Controlled Trade Plans - DonanmHaber | 12/19/2025 |
5 | What risks investors should watch in Key Tronic Corporation stock - 2025 EndofYear Setup Short-Term Trading Alerts - ulpravda.ru | 01/08/2026 |
6 | Key Tronic Corporation to Report Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Results on February 3, 2026 - Quiver Quantitative | 01/20/2026 |
7 | Key Tronic will release its earnings report after the market closes on February 3. - | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 4.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -4.2 M |
Key Tronic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 337.00 in Key Tronic on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (54.00) from holding Key Tronic or give up 16.02% of portfolio value over 90 days. Key Tronic is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0013% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Key, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Key Tronic Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Key Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.83 | 90 days | 2.83 | about 41.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Key Tronic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.21 (This Key Tronic probability density function shows the probability of Key Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Key Tronic has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Key Tronic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Key Tronic will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Key Tronic has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Key Tronic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Key Tronic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Key Tronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Key Tronic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Key Tronic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Key Tronic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Key Tronic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Key Tronic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Key Tronic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Key Tronic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Key Tronic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Key Tronic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Key Tronic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Key Tronic has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 467.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.38 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Key Tronic will release its earnings report after the market closes on February 3. - |
Key Tronic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Key Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Key Tronic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Key Tronic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 M |
Key Tronic Fundamentals Growth
Key Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Key Tronic, and Key Tronic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Key Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0978 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0082 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.03) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 151.81 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 10.86 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 9.21 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.28 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.07 X | ||||
| Revenue | 467.87 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 31.38 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 10.16 M | ||||
| Net Income | (8.32 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.71 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.16 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 118.46 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.04 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.08 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.57 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 18.93 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.08) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 30.95 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 315.87 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 68.6 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 142.18 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 43.17 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 20.91 M | ||||
About Key Tronic Performance
By analyzing Key Tronic's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Key Tronic's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Key Tronic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Key Tronic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 72.79 | 56.88 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.02) | (0.02) |
Things to note about Key Tronic performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Key Tronic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Key Tronic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Key Tronic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Key Tronic has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 467.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.38 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Key Tronic will release its earnings report after the market closes on February 3. - |
- Analyzing Key Tronic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Key Tronic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Key Tronic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Key Tronic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Key Tronic's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Key Tronic's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Key Tronic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Key Stock analysis
When running Key Tronic's price analysis, check to measure Key Tronic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Key Tronic is operating at the current time. Most of Key Tronic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Key Tronic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Key Tronic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Key Tronic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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